Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. Is Your Good for Nothing Cash Doing Anything with Its Life? In U.S. politics it's common to hear red states and blue states, but where did the expression come from? Includes 2016 Races for President, Senate, House, Governor and Key Ballot Measures. Latino voters in the state, like those across the U.S., constitute a solid base for Democrats. Data: The Princeton Gerrymandering Project through 2018; 270toWin research. Experts weigh in on swing-state status. Anita Trump aides were claiming high turnout in Republican areas in Luzerne, which is one of the three counties that flipped from supporting Obama to Trump in 2016. Tennessee. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. During Election Day in 2016, Democrats reported good turnout in Philadelphia, and Clinton actually pulled out almost as many raw votes out of Philly as Obama in 2012. Learn about the meaning of these words and see a list of these states, as of the 2020 election. These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. Three Michigan counties flipped from red to blue. Similarly, one state south, 56.45 percent of Oregon voters chose Joe Biden in 2020 compared to just 40.37 percent for Donald Trump. [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. Robert Vanderbei at Princeton University made the first Purple America map after the 2000 presidential election. Likewise, Republicans have elected many statewide officeholders in states that vote strongly Democratic in presidential elections, such as Massachusetts, Illinois, Maryland, Vermont, and New Jersey. That solved the problem. In April 2008, Republican presidential nominee John McCain predicted that the presidential election that November would not follow the red-state-blue-state pattern, saying, "I'm not sure that the old red state, blue state scenario that prevailed for the last several elections works. Cash, Money, Green: How Will You Feel in Retirement? We're not going to get a call out ofPennsylvania. Biden:43,949 (37.89%), 2016: To view the purposes they believe they have legitimate interest for, or to object to this data processing use the vendor list link below. One source claims that in the elections prior to 2000 every state that voted for Democratic candidates but one had been coded red. Good evening from Philadelphia! As the 2016 election cycle approached, the electoral map had become pretty predictable. ", "Why the National Popular Vote Compact is Unconstitutional", "Why Blue States Should Exit Red America", "Majority of Trump Voters Want to Split the Nation Into 'Red' and 'Blue' Halves", "Majority of Trump voters believe it's 'time to split the country' in two, new poll finds", "Biden came in to unite, but poll shows US is now more divided than ever", "47% of West Coast Dems, 66% of Southern Republicans want to secede from U.S.", "Shocking poll finds many Americans now want to secede from the United States", "Still miles apart: Americans and the state of U.S. democracy half a year into the Biden presidency | Bright Line Watch", "How People of Faith Voted in the 2008 Presidential Race". elections. We worship an awesome God in the blue states, and we don't like federal agents poking around our libraries in the red states. We may not know results in PA fordays. The Bay State added more than 480,000 people last decade for a total population of 7,029,917 in 2020. Pennsylvania Joe Biden's projected win in his native state of Pennsylvania put him past the 270 total electoral votes needed to win the presidency. With all eyes on Georgia and the upcoming Senate runoffs slated for Jan. 5, 2021, Emory College Dean Michael A. Elliott hosted a panel discussion Dec. 2 examining Georgia's new swing-state status and future role in American politics from business, marketing . A third possibility is that blue states tend to have higher urban density, which in theory could make spreading of the virus easier. Youve Answered Lifes Questions. Thats a point that they made. The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. The steady expansion of Denver and its suburbs turned a red state into a purple state, then into a blue state where Republicans struggle to win. polls closed in Ala., Conn., Del., D.C., Fla., Ill., Maine, Md., Mass., Miss., Mo., N.H., N.J., Okla., Pa., R.I., Tenn. polls closed in Ga., Ind., Ky., S.C., Vt., Va. Presidential results by pre-election forecasted chances, Georgia Senate elections live updates: Jon Ossoff projected to win Ga. Senate seat, ABC News projects Ossoff victory over Perdue, Raffensperger escorted out of state Capitol building, says deputy secretary of state, Here are Georgia's election certification deadlines, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Data: Wikipedia through 2018; 270toWin research. The four "mega-states" have established rival and increasingly polarized visions of state government-one blue, the other red. One thing to keep in mind as we've seen Biden's polling numbers vanish in states like Florida and North Carolina: His leads were much larger in Michigan and Wisconsin, and a bit larger in Pennsylvania. Similarly, at least one network would have used yellow to indicate a state won by Ross Perot in 1992 and 1996, though neither of them did claim any states in any of these years. All Rights Reserved. This is still a substantial difference from the period 1960 to 1980 when every state, save for Arizona, voted for each party at least once. President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. And since groceries are taxable, Idaho gives residents an annual credit to offset the fees (the credit amount is higher for seniors over 65). If the U.S. followed such a pattern, blue would be used for the Republicans and red for the Democrats. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. Polls close in 15 minutes inPennsylvania. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also alluded the color scheme when it launched a national "Red to Blue Program" in 2006. But two of those five losing states that voted for Trump Michigan and Pennsylvania surprised most analysts since they have been blue-leaners for several years. Biden won Daneand Milwaukee counties by far larger margins than Hillary Clinton, pushing him to victory in Wisconsin. In 1908, The New York Times printed a special color map, using blue for Democrats and yellow for Republicans, to detail Theodore Roosevelt's 1904 electoral victory. All five of the aforementioned states were decided by 1% or less in the year (2016 or 2020) they came off this map. [10][13], According to another source, in 1976, John Chancellor, the anchorman for NBC Nightly News, asked his network's engineers to construct a large illuminated map of the United States. After the results were final with the Republican George W. Bush winning, journalists stuck with the color scheme, as The Atlantic's December 2001 cover story by David Brooks entitled, "One Nation, Slightly Divisible", illustrated. The Keystone State has participated in all 59 presidential elections through 2020. According to the NYT, more than 98% of estimated votes there have been reported. Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. What are red and blue states? Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. polls closed in Calif., Idaho, Ore., Wash. polls closed in Ariz., Colo., Kan., La., Mich., Minn., Neb., N.M., N.Y., N.D., S.D., Texas, Wis., Wyo. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Although many red states and blue states stay in the same category for long periods, they may also switch from blue to red or from red to blue over time. Cartographers have traditionally limited the number of classes so that it is always obvious which class a color shade represents. Further highlighting this polarization: While relatively competitive overall, only four states (FL, NC, OH, VA) were decided by less than 5% popular vote margin in the 2012 presidential election. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. Biden ended up securing a broad Electoral College victory, but only thanks to relatively small margins of victory in key swing states. While the presidential election in Texas was said to be more competitive this year . Biden wants to cut his losses in those places (and maybe even flip a county here or there), so that's why you see him reiterate again and again that he doesn't want to ban fracking. Eight of the states hardest hit by the coronavirusNew Jersey, Rhode Island, Massachusetts. Pennsylvanias demographic makeup has not altered dramatically in just four short years. Biden's success could be attributed to many factors. [25] All these facts should be taken into account when looking at election maps. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. I just got off the phone with the City Commissioners office in Philadelphia, and they told me that all the machines that process mail ballots are up and running and that things are going smoothly. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! 44% of Americans in the South favored secession, with Republican support at 66%; while Democratic support was 47% in the Pacific states.[50][51][52]. The numbers are clear: in 2020, 57.97 percent of Washington voters chose Joe Biden, and only 38.77 percent chose Donald Trump. Also, theres a run off in Georgia so you may have two strikes incorrect. Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. This is nice, but you do realize that Maryland has elected Republican governors 3 of the last 5 elections and currently has a Republican sitting in the capital. (PA, GA, MI)". Biden won Maricopa with just over 50% of the vote, a large increase compared with Clinton's 45% in 2016. The Online Home of Author and Investor, Dick Young, President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks on Americas Energy Dominance and Manufacturing Revival Tuesday, Aug. 13, 2019, at the Shell Pennsylvania Petrochemicals Complex in Monaca, Pa. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour). Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic You have entered an incorrect email address! [19] Some Republicans argue the GOP should retain its historic association with blue, since most center-right parties worldwide are associated with blue. The political map of Pennsylvania is often described as a T with Republicans holding sway up the center of the state and across its northern tier, and Democrats strongest in the southeast and southwest. In Nebraska, two of the five electoral votes go to the winner of the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's three congressional districts. When do we get to talk some PENNSYLVANIA :eagles:? But Pennsylvania is now red. But look, this is what PA elected officials told us could happen for months. Non-English-speaking residents faced language access issues at a few polling locations. In 2016 and 2020, Missouri again voted strongly Republican, this time for Donald Trump, despite Trump losing the latter election. These maps give extra visual weight to larger areal units, whether by county or state. Throughout much of this campaign cycle, Pennsylvania has been considered a hotly contested toss-up, and it has been the focus of several mail voting-related lawsuits. List Of Blue States And Red States No. Which ones are more politically competitive? Click here to learn more about the role the Lancaster County Local Journalism Fund plays in Lancaster County and to make a tax-deductible donation. When a state is called a "red state", it means that it has traditionally voted in favor of Republican candidates. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. All three of those states were very close in both elections. For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. Where the 'Blue Wall' Was Strongest, and Where Cracks Appeared. You might have heard of this: In Pennsylvania, if you don't submit your mail ballot with the proper envelope, it's called a naked ballot and it will get tossed out. Please enable JavaScript to properly view our site. Its governor is Democratic, its Senate is both Republican and Democratic, and its House balance is also evenly split between the two parties. Trump's lone breakthrough in the "blue wall" in 2020 was the one electoral vote from Maine, which he again won. Starting with the 2000 United States presidential election, the terms "red state" and "blue state" have referred to U.S. states whose voters vote predominantly for one party the Republican Party in red states and the Democratic Party in blue states in presidential and other statewide elections. [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. 4, another 2020 red state. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. The exceptions were New Mexico (Al Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), Iowa (Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), and New Hampshire (Bush in 2000 and Kerry in 2004). Most issues involving misunderstandings or miscommunication about voting rules and laws were resolved by Election Task Force prosecutors by phone, and DAO prosecutors and detectives also responded to investigate incidents at polling sites in all six Philadelphia Police divisions. The county with biggest Republican edge is rural Snyder, near the center of the state. Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. The key swing region is the. Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state. After all, it's only at the center of the political universetonight. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. Dane County is home to Madison, the second-largest city in Wisconsin. Sen. Cory Gardner is now the only. Biden's projected win in the state was fueled by significant gains in already-blue counties, including Atlanta (Fulton County) and its suburbs. This election cycle, voters in Pennsylvania were universally able to vote by mail in the general election. Survive and Thrive March 2023: How Long Have You Been in the Investment Business? This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. More than 75% of the land area is red, when looking at the map based on land areas, while shifting to the population view only about 46% of the map is red. The Red-Blue terminology was popularized in 2000. Anita And in a sign of how important PA is to the race, Biden tried to fend off Trump's attacks over fracking over and over. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. Update on Election Day in Philadelphia from the DA's office here: "As of 9:00 p.m. on Tuesday, 68 incidents were reported to the Election Task Force and 67 incidents were peacefully resolved. Biden didn't flip any counties in Georgia. [12] The 2000 election was not the first during which the news media used colored maps to depict voter preferences in the various states, but it was the first time the current red-blue terminology was used.